What can we help you find?
Search by Topic

Your search had no results

Please try the following to find what you’re looking for:

  • Check your spelling
  • Try different words or word combinations (E.g. "fund form")

Rethinking the role of bonds in portfolio construction

Download a PDF of this Article
Print this page

The extraordinary monetary and fiscal policy response to the COVID-19 crisis has been very successful in minimising the damage of a massive shock to the global economy. It has also had profound implications for portfolio construction.

The role of bonds in portfolios is broadly facing scrutiny as long-term interest rates remain at extraordinarily low levels, supported by zero cash rates and aggressive quantitative easing. A key feature of portfolio construction for the past four decades has been the diversification benefit of owning bonds (with bonds rallying when equities are in bear markets). This time, bonds appear vulnerable and could continue to be the cause of a significant rotation within equity markets. Our focus remains on investments that can generate CPI plus 5% per annum over a five-year horizon.

Against this backdrop, we remain cautious about the outlook for some major parts of the investment universe, including:

  • the US market (which on some measures is the most expensive it has ever been) and specifically the technology sector.
  • credit markets − very little compensation for the risk of default.
  • government bonds – yields are negative after allowing for inflation.

At the same time, there are many attractive investments in the long-neglected ‘value’ parts of the equity market. These investments have several desirable features including significant upside as economies re-open, resilience in a rising interest rate environment, and defensive characteristics in the event of a general correction in equity markets. The Fund’s overall risk level is at the high end of its recent range, reflecting the risk allocated to the various equity markets that are attractively valued as well as diversifying opportunities (including equity alpha and FX positions). The Fund also retains a significant cash allocation reflecting the winnowing out of investments with poor prospects of generating the target return of CPI plus 5% in the medium term.

This cash position is balanced by a substantial risk allocation to diversifying opportunities (including equity alpha and currency positions) and has also been used to back call options on equity markets. There is also significant optionality in holding cash. This is an extreme environment for the economy and for markets. Valuations are extremely extended in some parts of the equity market and bond yields have never been lower than in the past year. Financial markets history is replete with dire warnings about the risks of investing when valuations are as extended as they are now. As a result, we want to hold cash to take advantage of attractive investment opportunities in the broader investment universe that we expect to arise in the period ahead.


Find out more about Perpetual’s Diversified Real Return Fund.

This information has been prepared by Perpetual Investment Management Limited (PIML) ABN 18 000 866 535, AFSL 234426. It is general information only and is not intended to provide you with financial advice or take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider, with a financial adviser, whether the information is suitable for your circumstances. To the extent permitted by law, no liability is accepted for any loss or damage as a result of any reliance on this information. 

The information is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation and is provided in good faith. This document may contain information contributed by third parties. PIML and PSL do not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information contributed by a third party. Any views expressed in this document are opinions of the author at the time of writing and do not constitute a recommendation to act. Any views expressed in this document are opinions of the author at the time of writing and do not constitute a recommendation to act. This information, including any assumptions and conclusions is not intended to be a comprehensive statement of relevant practise or law that is often complex and can change. 

The product disclosure statement (PDS) for the relevant Fund, issued by PIML, should be considered before deciding whether to acquire or hold units in the fund. The PDS and Target Market Determination can be obtained by calling 1800 022 033 or visiting our website www.perpetual.com.au. No company in the Perpetual Group (Perpetual Limited ABN 86 000 431 827 and its subsidiaries) guarantees the performance of any fund or the return of an investor’s capital. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.