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Perpetual knowledge bank series: Credit Risk

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Credit risk is the possibility that a borrower or counterparty does not meet its payment obligations as they fall due. A borrower defaulting by failing to meet interest or capital repayments is one of the most significant risks faced by any lender. Consumers, companies or countries posing higher credit risks usually end up paying higher interest rates on loans. Taking on more credit risk can lead to higher yields for lenders but it also increases the chance the borrower will not fully repay the loan.

Although it is difficult to know exactly who will default on obligations, properly assessing and managing credit risk can lessen the severity of a loss. There are many contributors to credit risk, such as profitability and cash generation of the borrower, the industry in which they operate, whether the loan is secured by assets or unsecured, and whether the loan is senior or subordinated to other creditors.

The least risky borrowers are typically governments and the best sovereign debt is almost risk free. For example, lending to the Australian government. However, there is an extremely large universe of other borrowers from high quality through to those considered higher risk, such as high-yield borrowers who issue sub-investment grade debt. Generally, if a bond has a low rating (below BBB), the issuer has a relatively high risk of default but stronger ratings (BBB, A, AA, or AAA), mean the risk of default is progressively less likely.

Unrated securities are also becoming increasingly common and refer to assets issued by borrowers without an established credit rating from a rating agency such as Standard & Poor’s (S&P), Moody’s Investor Services or Fitch. If a company is unrated, it does not necessarily mean that the debt it issues are high risk, but it does mean that investors will need to undertake more extensive due diligence to evaluate the borrower’s financial strength and the security's complexity. 

PCI’s investment strategy provides flexibility to invest across the broad spectrum of fixed income and credit assets and means we can take advantage of opportunities where quality issuers who do not meet the criteria for investment grade ratings can offer more attractive returns. The broad range of assets also means we can actively manage the portfolio to adapt to changing market conditions.

This analysis has been prepared by Perpetual Investment Management Limited (PIML) ABN 18 000 866 535, AFSL 234426. It is general information only and is not intended to provide you with financial advice or take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider, with a financial adviser, whether the information is suitable for your circumstances. To the extent permitted by law, no liability is accepted for any loss or damage as a result of any reliance on this information.

The information is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation and is provided in good faith. This document may contain information contributed by third parties. PIML and PSL do not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information contributed by a third party. Any views expressed in this document are opinions of the author at the time of writing and do not constitute a recommendation to act. 

The product disclosure statement(PDS) for the Perpetual Diversified Income Fund issued by PIML, should be considered before deciding whether to acquire or hold units in the fund. The PDS and Target Market Determination can be obtained by calling 1800 022 033 or visiting our website http://www.perpetual.com.au

No company in the Perpetual Group (Perpetual Limited ABN 86 000 431 827 and its subsidiaries) guarantees the performance of any fund or the return of an investor’s capital. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.